Bitcoin's Dominance Rises Steadily Since 2023 — Is the Altcoin Season Over?

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The era of surging altcoins — once a hallmark of bullish crypto markets — may be fading into history as investor behavior shifts and market dynamics evolve.

Since 2023, Bitcoin’s market dominance, which measures BTC’s share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has been on a steady upward trajectory. This trend persists despite the continuous emergence of new cryptocurrencies and tokens flooding the digital asset ecosystem.

As of now, Bitcoin holds approximately 61.6% market dominance, slightly down from its recent peak of 64.3% on February 3, 2025. That spike coincided with broader market declines triggered by growing concerns over escalating trade tensions between the United States and its global partners. On February 2, 2025, amid risk-off sentiment, Bitcoin’s dominance rebounded above 60%, underscoring its resilience in times of macroeconomic uncertainty.

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Why Altcoins Are Losing Ground

Macroeconomic instability typically hits riskier assets harder — and in today’s landscape, altcoins are widely perceived as higher-risk compared to Bitcoin. With generally lower liquidity, weaker fundamentals, and greater volatility, many altcoins have seen disproportionate sell-offs during market corrections.

This divergence highlights a structural shift: investors are increasingly favoring Bitcoin as a safe haven within the crypto space, especially when external economic pressures mount.

Another key factor reshaping capital flows is the rise of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These regulated financial products have drawn massive institutional and retail interest, channeling significant liquidity directly into Bitcoin-backed instruments.

Unlike previous market cycles — where profits from Bitcoin were often rotated into high-potential altcoins — today’s investors are more inclined to lock in gains through ETFs or hold BTC directly. This shift has disrupted the traditional "risk-on" rotation pattern that once fueled altseason rallies.

The End of the Altcoin Season?

Historically, crypto bull markets followed a predictable rhythm:

  1. Bitcoin leads the rally.
  2. Investors take profits and move into large-cap altcoins (e.g., Ethereum, Solana).
  3. Capital then cascades down to mid- and small-cap tokens, sparking what’s known as an “altcoin season.”

But this cycle appears to be breaking down.

With ETFs absorbing liquidity and Bitcoin reinforcing its position as the cornerstone asset, capital is no longer flowing freely into alternative projects. Meanwhile, the sheer volume of new tokens entering the market is creating unprecedented competition for attention and investment.

An Overcrowded Market

The number of listed digital assets on platforms like CoinMarketCap has exploded — from under 11 million on February 8, 2025, to over 12.7 million by March 15, 2025. That’s more than a million new tokens launched in just over a month.

In January 2025 alone, over 600,000 new tokens were created — most of them meme coins or low-market-cap projects launched via fair-launch platforms with minimal utility.

Market analyst Jesse Myers points out a troubling trend: even when these speculative tokens fail, they don’t disappear. Instead, many settle into a "zombie state," maintaining valuations between $10,000 and $100,000, trapping capital in illiquid pools that offer little chance of recovery.

This proliferation of low-quality assets isn't just diluting returns — it's making due diligence harder and increasing systemic risk across decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems.

Platform Responses and Regulatory Scrutiny

The overwhelming influx of new tokens has forced major exchanges to reevaluate their listing policies. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong recently acknowledged the need to refine the platform’s approach to token listings, emphasizing consumer protection and long-term sustainability over speed and volume.

As the ecosystem becomes more saturated, regulators are also paying closer attention. Ensuring transparency, preventing fraud, and protecting retail investors from pump-and-dump schemes remain top priorities globally.

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Key Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Strengthening Position

Several interrelated forces are driving Bitcoin’s growing dominance:

These advantages make it harder for altcoins to justify outsized gains unless they demonstrate clear innovation or real-world use cases.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: What is Bitcoin dominance?
A: Bitcoin dominance measures BTC’s market cap as a percentage of the total crypto market cap. It reflects investor preference for Bitcoin over other cryptocurrencies.

Q: Has altcoin season ended permanently?
A: While not necessarily gone forever, recurring altseasons are less likely under current conditions due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration and market saturation.

Q: Why aren’t investors rotating into altcoins anymore?
A: Increased regulatory scrutiny, poor project quality, lack of liquidity, and strong performance of Bitcoin ETFs have reduced incentives to chase speculative altcoin gains.

Q: Can any altcoins still outperform Bitcoin?
A: Yes — fundamentally strong projects with real adoption (e.g., Ethereum, Cardano, Polkadot) may still deliver high returns, but broad-based altcoin rallies are becoming rarer.

Q: How does macroeconomic news affect Bitcoin vs. altcoins?
A: During uncertainty, Bitcoin tends to hold value better due to its established status. Altcoins usually experience sharper drawdowns because of lower liquidity and higher perceived risk.

Q: Should I invest in small-cap altcoins in 2025?
A: High risk remains. Most new tokens fail or stagnate. If investing, focus on projects with transparent teams, working products, and strong community support — and always do your own research.

The Road Ahead

While the dream of another explosive altcoin season still lingers in some corners of the crypto community, structural changes suggest a new normal is taking hold.

Bitcoin is no longer just the entry point — it’s becoming the destination.

With increasing institutional participation, clearer regulatory frameworks emerging worldwide, and a flood of low-quality tokens cluttering the landscape, investors are prioritizing safety, simplicity, and scalability.

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For those navigating this evolving terrain, understanding Bitcoin dominance, monitoring market cycles, and recognizing liquidity shifts will be essential skills in 2025 and beyond.


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